You're opening a coffee shop. Let's see how many lattes you need to sell to stay afloat.
Your Fixed Costs (Monthly)
Rent: £2,000
Staff (part-time): £2,800
Insurance: £180
Utilities (gas, electric, water): £420
Internet and POS system: £100
Total: £5,500 per month
You pay this whether you sell 0 coffees or 10,000.
Your Variable Costs (Per Latte)
Coffee beans: £0.45
Milk: £0.35
Cup, lid, sleeve: £0.25
Napkins, stirrer, sugar: £0.10
Card processing fee (3%): £0.11
Waste (spills, training): £0.24
Total: £1.50 per latte
Your Price
Selling price: £3.50 per latte
Running the Calculation
Contribution per latte: £3.50 - £1.50 = £2.00
(That's how much each sale contributes toward your fixed costs)
Break-even point: £5,500 ÷ £2.00 = 2,750 lattes per month
What That Means in Reality
Per day: 2,750 ÷ 30 days = 92 lattes/day
Per hour: 92 ÷ 8 hours open = 11.5 lattes/hour
That's one latte every 5 minutes, all day, every day, just to break even.
The Brutal Truth
Before 2,750 lattes: You're losing money. Every latte sold brings you £2 closer to breaking even, but you're still in the red overall.
Latte #2,751: Your first profitable latte of the month.
Can You Hit That Target?
Let's reality-check this:
Busy hours (7-9am, 12-2pm): 20 lattes/hour × 4 hours = 80 lattes
Moderate hours (9-12pm, 2-5pm): 8 lattes/hour × 6 hours = 48 lattes
Slow hours (5-7pm): 3 lattes/hour × 2 hours = 6 lattes
Total per day: 134 lattes
134 lattes/day × 30 days = 4,020 lattes/month
You'd break even at 2,750 and have 1,270 profitable lattes:
1,270 × £2 contribution = £2,540 profit
But this assumes:
- No sick days
- No slow weeks
- Perfect execution
- No unexpected costs
- You're open every day
Improving Your Break-Even
Option 1: Raise Price to £4.00
- New contribution: £2.50
- New break-even: 2,200 lattes (733/day)
- Extra profit on 4,020 lattes: £4,050
Option 2: Cut Rent to £1,500
- New fixed costs: £5,000
- New break-even: 2,500 lattes (83/day)
- Extra profit: £540/month
Option 3: Add Food (Higher Margin)
- Pastries at £3.50 (£1 cost)
- Contribution: £2.50
- Sell 30/day = 900/month
- Reduces coffee break-even by 450 lattes
The Lesson
Break-even is just the starting line. You want to be 30-40% PAST break-even to have a sustainable business with a buffer for bad months.
Use the calculator to model different prices and cost scenarios.